Shipwreckedcrew has a very perceptive article that begins by discussing general electoral litigation issues and then focuses specifically on Georgia: What is the End Game for the Litigation Strategy In Georgia?
As regards the general issues, SWC warns us to expect reversals at the lower court levels:
Let’s begin with a simple observation — no single district court judge and no three-judge panel of a federal circuit court of appeal are going to enter an order that reverses the outcome of a state’s reported vote count with regard to selecting the electors who will choose a President. Doing so would run contrary to the long-standing principle of not involving the Judicial branch in the outcome of disputes of a political nature involving the two political branches.
Lower courts will conduct hearings and received factual evidence, but at the end of the process, it is almost a certainty that they will decline to exercise any authority to intervene — even in cases of fraud.
He goes on to explain why this is so, why you should expect these outcomes. It's part of the process that the Trump team hopes will get them to the SCOTUS--as Jordan Sekulow also makes clear in an interview that I'll link below. Be prepared, and if you want more information, follow the link above.
After this discussion, SWC moves on to Georgia. His bottom line is that the Trump team needs to get a machine recount--which they're entitled to. However, along the way to that conclusion, he uncovers some eye catching statistical anomalies that came to light in the just completed recount. Basically, what he shows is that:
1. In the heavily Dem counties in the Atlanta metro area--won by Biden in overwhelming fashion--the recount discovered new votes.
2. Logically you would expect those new votes to break in the same ratios as the votes that had already been counted.
3. Instead, in stunning fashion, the ratios actually reversed, with Trump winning the newly discovered votes in equally overwhelming fashion!
I'll let SWC explain it. First he gives the readout from the four counties. I've edited this for clarity:
Clearly these results fly in the face of all the odds. Something funny had to have been going on.
Now, here's another way to look at those numbers--again edited for clarity--to make those results really jump out:
For that math to work, that means that Fulton County--which voted 73% for Biden--added 489 Trump votes, and 145 Biden votes.
In Clayton County--which voted 85% for Biden--the recount produced 360 new votes. Those new votes broke 252 to 107 in favor of Trump over Biden--70% to 30% for Trump over Biden.
Rockdale--which went 70% for Biden--actually LOST 6 votes, yet Trump’s vote total increased by 241 votes! The only way that makes sense is if Biden votes from the election tally became Trump votes in the recount.
Gwinnett--which voted 58% for Biden--ended up with 1642 additional votes. Trump gained 285 votes. The math says the 1642 new votes broke 963 to 679 in favor of Trump. That almost exactly reversed the ratio--with Trump winning new votes at a rate of 59% to 41%.
The other three metro-Atlanta counties ended up with more Biden votes, but in percentages that still meant that Trump overperformed in the recount compared to the election tally.
Now here's the 12 minute video of Jordan Sekulow being interviewed regarding the Trump legal strategy. Sekulow doesn't beat around the bush. It's clear that the goal is to eventually amalgamate the contested states into one case that can get to the SCOTUS--confirming in its own way SWC's observations, above. Also note that Sekulow explicitly distinguishes these challenges regarding "voter fraud" from the ongoing efforts of Sidney Powell regarding systematic "election fraud." H/T sundance: Jordan Sekulow on New Election Lawsuits: “What’s Coming in Georgia Will Be Shocking”:
UPDATE: I should've trusted my instincts. When I first wrote this thread I wanted to predict that the lawsuit that Trump hinted at this morning would include allegations that the fraudulent election was enabled by kickbacks from Dominion to the Republican governor and Secretary of State--Sidney Powell has been suggesting that openly for days, now. The idea would be that, in exchange for the kickbacks they would adopt a more or less hands off approach during elections. Then I thought, no, you can't go that far. But here we are. Powell stated on Newsmax:
Georgia is the first state I’m going to blow up. And Mr. Kemp and the Secretary of State need to go with it because they’re in on this Dominion scam with their last minute purchase!
It sure sounds like she's gonna go there.