NOTE: Since publishing this, I've revised it somewhat, adding a third consideration. I'm still digesting Tucker's entire monologue because it covers more than just the January 6 Event--yet most of what is currently going on in DC seems connected.
If I understand what Thomas Lifson is saying that Tucker Carlson is saying, then the motive behind the FBI's change of stance regarding the January 6 Event has to do with concealing federal involvement in that event. Lifson writes:
“If there was organization going on, some of it came from the feds.”
Dropping the allegations of coordinated activity, aka, insurrection from the charges would allow these unindicated co-conspirators to avoid being called as witnesses by those who otherwise might have been charged with crimes of conspiracy.
But--in bigger picture terms--organization coming from the feds means federal agency involvement in the coup against Trump. I read that as arguing that The January 6 Event, to the extent it was directed by the feds, was an op with the goal of providing a legal basis for removing Trump if push came to shove. An insurance policy of sorts against the unthinkable--Trump staging a comeback by showing election fraud before Zhou could be installed.
Now, why would the FBI be concerned at this point in time to conceal that--the Zhou regime is a fait accompli for now, right? Is there something important about this point in time? At least two reasons come to mind, and they ultimately revolve around the crash and burn of the Zhou regime that is now undeniable.
First, if DoJ pushes ahead with prosecutions, many of those cases would not come up for trial until 2022. Think about that. There's a major election--most likely including a major power shift away from the currently installed regime--that's also coming up in 2022. My working assumption would be that DoJ and the FBI were hoping to get all this behind them through guilty pleas within months, as part of cementing the legitimacy of the Zhou regime in the public mind within the first 6 months. That hasn't happened, and now it increasingly looks as if regime change will be necessary. The Deep State will want the citizenry focusing on that regime change rather than on the origins of the Zhou regime--of which the January 6 Event is a constant reminder. Thus the need to get the January 6 Event behind us, out of public consciousness, rather than the open running sore that Pelosi had hoped to make it--constantly blaming Trump. Game plan changes.
Second, the judiciary as an independent branch of government is clearly not on board with being manipulated in the fashion that DoJ has been attempting. As a result defense attorneys are doubtless emboldened to fight these cases and to seek embarrassing discovery material. This already appears to be happening--cases are being expedited by dropping any serious charges and letting people free on time served. The bottom line here would be, the less information that comes out in the judicial process the less a new conservative majority in the House would have to work with in hearings.
A third consideration offers a bit of hope. It increasingly appears that the whole purpose of the January 6 Event "insurrection" narrative has failed. Trump has NOT been marginalized and forced off the national stage. Whether he will stage a political comeback in the sense of a new campaign for the presidency remains an open question, but he remains a major factor--a figure around whom Americans can rally. To that extent, the "insurrection" narrative is a clear fail and has to be jettisoned in view of coming battles.
Again, the goal of the establishment would be the effort to safeguard whatever regime comes after Zhou--sooner rather than later--against a possibly resurgent Trump. A combination of election fraud revelations with evidence of federal complicity in trying to frame Trump as an insurrectionist would be disastrous for the establishment installed regime, and renegade conservatives in control of the House come 2022 could push that into a major crisis for the establishment.
So it looks like the establishment may be cutting their losses. Clearing the decks for future battles.
I'll listen to Tucker and may update later. I've listened to the first segment, and the first ten minutes are a masterful evocation of the regime/establishment crisis--the January 6 Event segment begins a bit after 32:00: