I'd like to draw attention to an interesting and provocative article that Zerohedge has republished from South Front. I'm not endorsing everything that's said in the article, but it raises interesting and possibly important foreign policy issues. And, since we know two things that bear on foreign policy, it would behoove us to pay attention:
1. The forces most strongly aligned against Trump were supported by Globalists--not really by people concerned strictly with domestic issues. That suggests that these same people will be eager to project US power abroad in ways that they favor--without much regard for US public opinion.
2. Playing into #1 is the well known fact that the dynamics of US politics--especially during periods of relatively even partisan divides--lead to the Executive Branch seeking to make a mark in foreign policy, rather than conducting a fruitless slog through domestic policy disputes.
Again, these are reasons that we should be paying attention to foreign policy--starting with Ukraine.
With that in mind, let's take a look at the South Front article.
The author begins with the observation that the Zhou Baiden regime
was warmly welcomed in capitals around Europe as a sign that liberalism would vanquish populism ushering in a new era of “business as usual” in the form it was practiced during the Obama Administration.
Note well what he's saying right up front, because it's a central theme for what follows. What was "business as usual" under Obama? It was a vast empowerment of the Intel Community and the Deep State generally--Vindman's "Interagency" that made policy and carried it out, largely regardless of the occupant of the Oval Office. As the author points out, Baiden, "unlike Obama, would not score a Nobel Peace Prize solely for his existence." And, of course, that joke was totally on the Nobel knuckleheads, because Obama proceeded to follow the hyper warlike policies favored (dictated?) by the Deep State. When he attempted to rein in the military in Syria, they simply ignored him and went ahead with an aggressive bombing campaign. So, the business as usual--liberalism vanquishing populism--translates into the empowerment of a war mongering Deep State establishment.
The problem for the Deep State is that it can't afford to simply ignore the electorate indefinitely, and openly massive election fraud may be a one off that would backfire if repeated. In a period of populist sentiment that favors addressing domestic issues, the Deep State needs to find a way to swing public opinion, and this is what leads the author to consider and compare Euro politics vis a vis the US political situation.
The Zhou regime--whoever's running it--probably realizes the limits of their domestic initiatives, and so the regime's amateur foreign policy wonks have attempted to hit the ground running, with aggressive and provocative talk aimed at Germany, Russia, and China:
It does not appear as if Blinken’s “shock and awe” show on three continents has had the desired results.
We've seen that Russia and China can recognize weakness when they see it, and it appears that the Germans can, too. However ...
German politics are in turmoil currently, and the most notable feature is the rise of the Greens. However, the author suggests that this does NOT necessarily presage a resurgence of pacifism. Concurrent with the rise of the Greens, the author notes that populist movements such as Alternative for Germany (AfD - D for Deutschland) have been
attracting unwanted attention from Germany’s own “Deep State” which, like its US and British counterparts, is playing an increasingly active role in the country’s politics.
Oh! That should ring a few bells for observers of the American political scene, where Deep State support for the insurrectionist Left is in your face, while harmless populist groups who want IDs required for voting (not just for picking up baseball tickets) are demonized as existential threats to the republic. Meanwhile in the rest of the Anglophone world the jackboots are coming for ... Christian worshippers? Well, Christians tend toward populism in politics too.
Now, here's where the author advances a provocative big picture theory. You don't have to buy into all of it to see that the author may be on to something behind the Globalist/Deep State push for total societal control through Covid and Social Media canceling. The basic idea is that these forces are using Leftist movements to try to marginalize populist movements that oppose the Globalist agenda:
That the Greens’ coming to power is bound to result in Germany becoming more militaristic and interventionist on the world stage is also suggested by the curious case of Tareq Alaows, a Syrian man born in Damascus who came to Germany in 2015 and, only six years later, was declared a Bundestag candidate from the Green Party already as a German citizen. Given that the rest of the 1.5 million refugees who arrived in Germany at roughly the same time are still not German citizens and are likely never to become them, Alaows’ rapid elevation suggest that the Greens have friends within Germany’s “deep state”, and are interested in following US and British lead in “weaponizing” social issues such as gender rights, environmentalism, and other issues in order to justify aggression against countries [or domestic dissidents?] deemed insufficiently dedicated to what the West claims to be “universal values”. They would not be Europe’s first “Green” party to go neo-conservative. Sweden’s Greens have likewise inducted many Islamists into their ranks in order to press for greater foreign interventionism. Moreover, since Germany’s Green Party is a relatively recent invention and is therefore not associated with Germany’s earlier military aggressions ... they are the most logical front for Germany’s neo-cons.
One can readily imagine empowered Greens declaring Germany has a sacred mission to rid the world of coal, oil, and natural gas as sources of energy which naturally means a confrontation with China and Russia in order to install governments in those countries that naturally share the Greens’ priorities and incidentally also enact policies highly favorable to German business interests. ...
Keep an eye on foreign policy.