Having flushed their credibility down the toilet, the MSM is finding that they're unable to influence anyone except the tinfoil hat crowd when it comes to Impeachment Theater. Via Greg Jarrett:
New Poll Shows Dem’s Impeachment Hopes are Doomed
A new Hill-Harris poll shows that 60% of Americans do not believe that any new information will be revealed during the Senate impeachment trial.
A new Hill-Harris poll shows that 60% of Americans do not believe that any new information will be revealed during the Senate impeachment trial. As expected, the poll shows that Democratic individuals are much more hopeful that something significant will come out during the proceedings.
In fact, an astonishing 61% of Democrats who were polled thought something potentially explosive will come out. Independents and Republican individuals were more realistic in their expectations with only 30%, and 25% of them respectively thinking that new important information will be revealed.
After the first two days of the Senate trial not revealing any new information, the left-wing media has apparently sold the narrative of the Democratic party very well only to Democratic party supporters.
There could be a very rude awakening when the Trump team puts on their case.
UPDATE: Here's a perfect example of the MSM irretrievably flushed their credibility away. Can you imagine that the MSM is acclaiming Schiff's performance as "dazzling"?
Schiff is making this argument 24 hours after the FISA court officially stated two of the warrants on Carter Page, pursued and justified by the intelligence community, were bogus. Incredible. https://t.co/PUbiZRRHLV— Katie Pavlich (@KatiePavlich) January 24, 2020
"Dazzling." Good grief. Yes, absolutely dazzzzzzzzz...ReplyDelete
State-run media in socialist utopias say such things about Dear Leader's three day speech-a-thons.Delete
put me down for zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzDelete
Well the poll was taken Jan. 13-14, so before any of the snooze fest began.ReplyDelete
If you read the details on the sampling, it reveals fascinating adjustments that suggests the margin of error (+/- 3.1%) is bogus. To wit...
"Results were weighed for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, income, political party, and education where necessary to align them with actual proportions in the population."
In other words, they're using statistical techniques for random sampling, but adjusting so as to achieve a representative sample of the population. Random sampling and a representative sample of the population are not the same thing. All the while, the pollster pretend they are the same thing.
Having adjusted for seven demographic factors, the benefits of random sampling have been thrown out the window. A random sample of 1,001 would have a sampling error of ~3.1%--adjusted seven times, the results are meaningless--an error rate a multiple of 3.1% (possibly indeterminate).
I thought the point of polling was to get a valid snapshot of the state of public opinion. Random sampling won't give you that unless the sample size is very large--ergo adjustments are made to compensate for the small size of the sample. The interesting finding, for me, was that 40% of Dems are pretty skeptical. Overall, that seems a rather healthy sign, although disappointing that the tin foil hat contingent is as large as it is.Delete
The actual % does not matter, what matters is the trend.ReplyDelete
In that regard, the NYT is reporting that Sanders is surging:Delete
Sanders Surges To 7-Point Lead In Iowa
IMO, Dems have a major Sanders problem. How to thwart Sanders without depressing base turnout? And I don't see how perpetuating the Russia Hoax in the Impeachment Theater will solve that problem. The Russia Hoax, IMO, was totally trashed by the Mueller Dossier--for all but the tin foil hat crowd. Trying to perpetuate is likely to alienate some significant portion of Indies. Again, IMO.
> [snip] And I don't see how perpetuating the Russia Hoax in the Impeachment Theater will solve that problem. The Russia Hoax, IMO, was totally trashed by the Mueller Dossier--for all but the tin foil hat crowd. Trying to perpetuate is likely to alienate some significant portion of Indies. Again, IMO.<
I agree completely, which is to say the "tin-foil hat crowd" IS the Dem base!
This is why I continue to be convinced the entire Impeachment Theater is directed at that (tin-foil hatted) base, and NOT the swing voters/independents.
The only people who like what they have heard from Schiff, Nadler and their fellow Impeachment Clowns are people who are already members of the Trump Derangement/Russia Collusion Delusion choir.
And that is why I continue to surmise that the Dems internal polling has told them they will lose the WH no matter who their candidate is, and they will lose the House majority and many states and state legislatures unless they can motivate their base voters to turn out in droves in November to staunch the bleeding.
Dems lost the base voters after Mueller's report failed to deliver what they had been promised, and revealed the Russia/Trump Collusion was a hoax; the massive decline in CNN and MSNBC audience numbers were an unmistakable indicator that the Dems base was giving up, evidenced by their not tuning in each day for their daily dose of Trump Derangement Fantasy after Mueller's report failed to deliver the promised destruction of Trump.
The whole faux Ukraine Scandal was cobbled together on the fly this summer after the Mueller report flopped, in order to cobble together this faux Impeachment Theatrical Farce, as a last ditch appeal to get the Dem base back on the reservation and enthused about voting in November.
And so far, it is not clear to me that even a fake Impeachment will win back the hearts and alleged minds of the dejected Dem base voters. But the Dems have no other options it seems to me. Like the pilot who arrives near ground level out of speed and out of altitude, there aren't very many appealing choices (unless there's a runway directly in front of the airplane.)
Impeachment Theater appears to be the Dems only option; hence the reason they are doing it and only trying to appeal to their brain-dead base -- who still fervently believe in Russia Collusion Delusion with religious zealot ferocity.
It's the only explanation I can come up with to explain the otherwise inexplicably bizarre behavior of the Dems.
And yet at the same time the Dems face a real dilemma:Delete
Efforts to satisfy the base with Impeachment Theater present a strong risk of alienating the independents without whom they can't win. That alienation could lead to the loss of the House.
At the same time, the obvious efforts by the Dem Establishment to sabotage the Sanders campaign IMO risks alienating the same tin foil hat base that demands impeachment.
Seems a can't win dilemma.
The base will be enough to carry them through to victory in Congressional races that are in traditionally +D districts. It's the swing districts where they need the independent voters to some extent, and like the with WH, I think they are willing to write some of those districts off, as long as they can hold onto the more Dem districts, which they can only do with a significant base turn-out.Delete
IOW, Pelosi would rather have 150 seats as Minority leader in the House than to only have 50 seats. A base collapse also spells disaster for Dems in the downticket races at the state level, as well.
I think Dems are stuck choosing between the lesser of two decidedly unpleasant outcomes this fall: losing, and losing badly.
Thus, I think there strategy is all about mitigating the damage, and that's where they need their base to be energized and enthusiastic; otherwise many traditionally or even slightly safe Dems districts will suddenly be in play if their tin-foil goons don't show up to vote.
Another factor: the more districts that are in play, the more seats the Dems are forced to defend, and that dilutes the money they have to spend on those Congressional races. That's what's makes the base turnout so important -- a strong base turnout keeps the safe Dems districts out of play, and the money can be diverted to a smaller list of Districts they need to defend.
That's why I think they are focusing monomanically on appealing to their tin foil hatters, even if it alienates swing voters.
It's the best argument I've seen so far. But see my new post for caveats. See what you think of the evidence Hayward advances.Delete