UPDATED: "Our People Are Showing Up"

That's the word from the Trump campaign, as recounted by the Washington Examiner.

The question then becomes: Exactly who are "our people."

My guess, and we're gonna be hearing a lot about this in the weeks and months ahead, is that "our people" in 2020 will be much like who "our people" were in 2016. Only more so.

I suspect that a lot of the suburban women who didn't like Trump's hair or whatever will come back. My take is that many of these women thought Trump was too risky, a gamble. No longer. They know he's a stable genius regardless of hair/skin color. Lockdowns of schools and the economy will have been a big issue.

One difference may well be in the African American and Hispanic vote--having seen what the Trump economy could do for them, and the lengths that the Dems went to to shut the economy down, they now know which side their bread is buttered on. And they're tired of being used by the Dems. Turnout and crossover will be a big factor here--how big is yet to be determined.

But the Big Red Wave will probably be driven by working class white men. The privileged guys. Deplorable bitter clingers who are tired of the abuse. They put Trump over the top in 2016. They've been buying guns and turning off the pro sports on TV. And getting ready to vote.

Shipwreckedcrew has a nice article today on this topic--although for some reason he doesn't seem to recognize how big an issue PC is to this demographic. He works off an article that made a big impression on me when I first read it: 

Democrats Face Their Fears in Wisconsin 

The Midwest shows that Trump’s vote could actually grow in 2020.  

By Francis Wilkinson

Having spent a pretty fair amount of my life in Wisconsin, I had been stunned in 2016 to see the major shift in voting patterns in the traditionally Blue stretch along the upper Mississippi river. That's what Wilkinson addresses in his article. Dem strategists recognized they had a problem, but the difficulty was how to deal with it. With the party now dominated by the far Left, how could they appeal to these blue collar workers?

Check out this small sample from SWC's article--it'll provide food for thought over the course of this evening. Note that SWC continually refers to "Francis" as "she". "Francis" is "he". "Frances" (as in my mother's name) is the "she."

The White Male Without a College Degree Non-Voter -- A Wave About to Wash Over Joe Biden?

What Wilkison learned from her discussions with local party officials was that it wasn’t so much voters flipping from Obama to Trump that drove the huge reversal in the vote totals in those counties, it was first-time voters — voters who hadn’t cast a ballot in the four previous elections or were unregistered — who surprisingly showed up at the polls, took advantage of same-day registration in Wisconsin, and voted.  By far the biggest demographic reflected in these previous “non-voters” were white males with no college degree.  As one of the local Democrat party officials monitoring a precinct on election day described to Wilkinson, the men started arriving when the polls opened, and just never stopped.

They were mostly farmers and blue-collar workers with families.  They showed in large numbers and voted for Pres. Trump by a margin of 50% as a group.

...

The sanguine takeaway from the 2016 outcome in Wisconsin — and likely from the surprising outcomes in Michigan and Pennsylvania — was that the Clinton campaign had taken those states for granted, not enough attention was paid to turning out key Democrat voting groups, and that failure will be corrected in 2020 which should put all three states back in the Democrat column.

But the Wilkison article provided a more dire view of the circumstances that produced the surprising Trump victories in those three states in 2016. In it she noted that the largest demographic group of “non-voters” in the country is “white males without a college degree.” The number is estimated to be nearly 20 million voting-age males who do not consistently vote in elections. The rhetorical question posed to her by the Wisconsin Democrat party analysts was “What if the arrival of these voters in 2016 is only the leading edge of a wave of such voters entering the electorate for the first time in response to the political message pushed by Pres. Trump — populism and nationalism on behalf of  American working men and women, deregulation to free up more domestic economic activity, a more aggressive trade policy against hostile states like China, and greater control of our borders.

 

This is why I said that China, China, China was an absolute killer for Biden. Not that he wasn't already dead meat. 

In 2016 the Trump campaign was built solely on the unapologetic rhetoric of the candidate in support of those themes. But the 2020 Trump re-election campaign has tangible results from four years worth of policies on some of these topics which to run on.

The level of enthusiasm for Trump at his rallies — and some of the demographic analysis of his rally attendees showing sizeable numbers of registered Democrats and persons who have not previously voted — suggests strongly that the more dire view of the Wisconsin outcome is likely the more accurate view.

A solid performance today leading to the re-election of Pres. Trump will cement a post-Trump GOP party alignment.

 

In other words, all those other deplorables out there who didn't turn out in 2016 may well be doing so this time around. They see the political establishment--represented by Biden--in bed with China, China, China. They hear the vilification of their supposed "privilege" as white males by that same establishment that has enriched itself by beggaring them while doing deals with China. And they see that Trump--against all odds--has followed through on his 2016 promises. 

And now they're showing up.

UPDATE 1: My suspicion is that for quite some time Trump has been confident of winning. The incredible campaigning that he's been doing is--in my view--designed to build up turnout. Not so much to win, per se but because:

1. Winning the popular vote will give him more legitimacy. I know how the Constitution works, but politics is about popular perception, too. Winning the popular vote will help--a lot.

2. Maximizing turnout is the surefire way to win the House back. Winning the House will enhance Trump's influence within the GOP enormously, and will allow for an extraordinarily productive second term.

My hope is that, if the GOP is able to regain the House, they will put electoral reform at the top of their agenda. Leaving it up to the states has seen its day. The Constitution allows Congress to step in, and a GOP House should do that.

UPDATE 2: This tall Beta Male can't be fired again, but he can be convicted and sent to federal prison. I'm guessing he wouldn't thrive there, as he's been used to doing: