tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post8980636937368631424..comments2023-10-19T21:48:56.560-05:00Comments on meaning in history: UPDATED: Are The Wheels Coming Off The Swedish Model?mark wauckhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comBlogger24125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-30599885793447521982020-04-13T10:53:00.123-05:002020-04-13T10:53:00.123-05:00I also have a question about the ice rinks. The n...I also have a question about the ice rinks. The number of deaths does not suggest a situation exists where you need to use ice rinks. If I was to guess, I would guess that bodies are taking longer to bury because the government wants them tested for coronavirus before releasing them to the family, creating a bureaucratic delay.JPTravishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02260617604859960290noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-82486497320760389402020-04-12T13:43:56.340-05:002020-04-12T13:43:56.340-05:00"None of the above refutes my main thesis&quo..."None of the above refutes my main thesis"<br /><br />Sorry, your main thesis doesn't hold water. We wouldn't be where we are today without those prior "resilient" periods in our history.mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-71725661513717543322020-04-12T12:56:39.835-05:002020-04-12T12:56:39.835-05:00None of the above refutes my main thesis, that in ...None of the above refutes my main thesis, that in those years, the world (esp. Western Civ.) was in far more *resilient* shape then, partly because its peoples were of far more virile character, than is the current crop of Snowflakes.<br /><br />Then, a brutal Depression led to rise of evil mov'ts (e.g. the NSDAP), but other lands muddled thru.<br />Nowadays, when these Snowflakes are "aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-33772495748849343302020-04-12T12:46:20.273-05:002020-04-12T12:46:20.273-05:00Back to key components:
Failure to replace a bad g...Back to key components:<br />Failure to replace a bad gasket in 1918 might get an ammo plant to blow up a neighboring block, but if such a failure now melts down a Three Mile Island, or a Chernoble, it could devastate whole provinces or countries.<br /><br />Dr Tim Morgan, among others, fears that the complexity of the current system is thus far less resilient, than ever before in world history.<aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-88554087503739083302020-04-12T12:28:48.762-05:002020-04-12T12:28:48.762-05:00"Why not include the 100 Years War", etc..."Why not include the 100 Years War", etc.?<br />Most of the episode on your list were, so I understand it, less likely to spur much fear in other key places (e.g. in world markets, such as they were), than would've been spurred by, say Bonaparte's rampages *across* Europe.<br /><br />(I'll bet that, when he sold us Louisiana Territory, it raised many eyebrows, seeing as aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-57760495473117652012020-04-12T12:28:24.314-05:002020-04-12T12:28:24.314-05:00"As for 1918, the world (esp. Western Civ.) w..."As for 1918, the world (esp. Western Civ.) was in far more resilient shape then, despite having been clobbered by a World War and a Bolshevik Revolution."<br /><br />A World War and a Bolshevik? Aren't you leaving out the influenza pandemic?<br /><br />I absolutely could not disagree more. Western Europe NEVER recovered from the "Great" War. The demographic, social, mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-36562959470205083312020-04-12T12:17:01.199-05:002020-04-12T12:17:01.199-05:00As for 1918, the world (esp. Western Civ.) was in ...As for 1918, the world (esp. Western Civ.) was in far more resilient shape then, despite having been clobbered by a World War and a Bolshevik Revolution.<br />Thus, it could endure lockdowns far more easliy, than the current JIT economy.<br />The world debt load (relative to Gross Product) was a fraction of its current level.<br />The world was nowhere near to scraping the bottom of the vital OILaNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-80381316370058050932020-04-12T12:09:51.634-05:002020-04-12T12:09:51.634-05:00"A fair amount of truth to that"
A LOT ..."A fair amount of truth to that"<br /><br />A LOT more than a fair amount of truth to that. :-)<br /><br />"dwarfs all prior episodes in modern history, save maybe for the Thirty Years War, Napoleon's wars, and the World Wars."<br /><br />I count, conservatively, four episodes there. But why confine ourselves to modern history? All history is connected, and you've mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-31461351682074647162020-04-12T11:53:57.976-05:002020-04-12T11:53:57.976-05:00"most Western countries--have been hard at wo..."most Western countries--have been hard at work destroying...."<br /><br />A fair amount of truth to that, but it's been done mostly at a slow pace, enough so that, there was/ is time to work to turn the ship around. <br />By contrast, the worldwide damage inflicted by these recent policies, dwarfs all prior episodes in modern history, save maybe for the Thirty Years War, Napoleon&#aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-53690900151444101362020-04-12T09:07:48.311-05:002020-04-12T09:07:48.311-05:00Sorry, that's not historically correct. Read t...Sorry, that's not historically correct. Read the history of the 1918 Flu Pandemic. The record appears to show that the "lockdown" measures that were put into effect were effective in limiting the effect, as compared to localities that didn't take such measures. Lots more could be said about that, but that appears to be the fact. Those measures were not taken to quarantine those mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-28387382043180502502020-04-12T08:48:16.291-05:002020-04-12T08:48:16.291-05:00Isolation proposals are useful only in certain cir...Isolation proposals are useful only in certain circumstances. A variety of diseases were contained mainly when pretty much anyone who had the disease could be quarantined.<br /><br />A big problem with large scale lockdown models like this is that they are fine in theory (remember what Feynman said about theory) but over a large and varied population plenty of leaks will occur. Absolutely. And inAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-82405340557689687922020-04-11T18:03:21.273-05:002020-04-11T18:03:21.273-05:00It's real detective work. For example, you'...It's real detective work. For example, you'd have to try to find out how many infected people were at the wedding and consider the likelihood of how many surfaces they contaminated and so forth.<br /><br />But the bottom line seems to be that the rate of infection is relatively low for the total population--relative to the flu.mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-70504255222496194862020-04-11T17:31:28.625-05:002020-04-11T17:31:28.625-05:00Agree with the close proximity for a couple of min...Agree with the close proximity for a couple of minutes.<br /><br />But, there also seems to be contaminated places. A hall used for weddings on Korea was a spreader vector I read.<br /><br />Masks seem to help, but are having most impact when?Ray - SoCalhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11293232996007277071noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-26104978548151402262020-04-11T17:08:08.979-05:002020-04-11T17:08:08.979-05:00Not so far.
But, I can only hope, that he can anti...Not so far.<br />But, I can only hope, that he can anticipate/ neutralize all of the possible ploys in their arsenal, incl. a massive onslaught of terrorism. aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-28276115351542016342020-04-11T16:43:12.309-05:002020-04-11T16:43:12.309-05:00CTH just posted the news, that Louisville judge J....CTH just posted the news, that Louisville judge J.R. Walker (appointed by DJT) blocked the city brass, from their bid to block Easter Worship.<br />What if DJT is implementing his vintage trolling method, by enticing his foes to expose their derangement, for all sane folks to see?aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-3341746595031970322020-04-11T16:32:35.913-05:002020-04-11T16:32:35.913-05:00At risk of repeating myself, I see all this to be,...At risk of repeating myself, I see all this to be, as Churchill wrote about the launching of the Schlieffen Plan, "a drama never surpassed".<br />It's a helluva time to be alive, and a helluva privilege, to be able to interact about all this, with such knowledgeable folks as those who post here.aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-48429775458581045492020-04-11T16:25:32.044-05:002020-04-11T16:25:32.044-05:00Barr knows that. Does he seem intimidated to you?Barr knows that. Does he seem intimidated to you?mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-85953167687171275952020-04-11T16:23:41.104-05:002020-04-11T16:23:41.104-05:00"he's listening to a wide range of advice..."he's listening to a wide range of advice."<br />The fate of the republic likely hinges on that, and on if Barr actually has the stones to give the D.S. guys "their due".<br />Book it, they'll pull out all stops, to try to intimidate Barr into the tall grass.aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-77259772814925224662020-04-11T16:18:07.499-05:002020-04-11T16:18:07.499-05:00I maintain that in the circs Trump had no choice, ...I maintain that in the circs Trump had no choice, because he knew things were getting out of control via NYC and a few other hot spots. He is not being manipulated by Fauci--Trump is in charge--not Fauci--and he's listening to a wide range of advice. I'm sure his biggest concern is for the fall. Can we prevent a renewed outburst in the fall, or can we prepare for it so that we won't mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-31722968980712490102020-04-11T16:09:27.719-05:002020-04-11T16:09:27.719-05:00Indeed, we've been "FAR better than medic...Indeed, we've been "FAR better than medical professionals expected."<br />So, maybe they're not as expert as the MSM would have us believe.<br />They *may* know much, about the details of how a virus effects the organs of a person, but they don't know nearly enough about anything else, to justify their being given a shot, at the Machtergreifung that they've pulled off aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-88569351876568046612020-04-11T15:05:38.181-05:002020-04-11T15:05:38.181-05:00I read that first thing this morning and have been...I read that first thing this morning and have been thinking about doing a post using that as one point of reference. The talk of "superspreaders" is, I'm beginning to think, somewhat deceptive. Here's what I mean.<br /><br />There are now a wide variety of anecdotal accounts about how outbreaks of COVID have begun. Usually they come down to one to a handful of infected persons mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-66839847216719621212020-04-11T14:33:23.663-05:002020-04-11T14:33:23.663-05:00Sailer today writes, with words from an iSteve com...Sailer today writes, with words from an iSteve commenter:<br />"In Austria, there have been *two random studies* conducted so far (sample size about 1500 each). <br />Austria is the first country in continental Europe, to come out with such a study (Iceland is the famous other country in Europe). <br />One sample focused on professions assumed to be at high risk of infection (health care, aNanyMousehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14452492302514671882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-56896544064488984362020-04-10T19:09:49.065-05:002020-04-10T19:09:49.065-05:00I try to present a moving target.I try to present a moving target.mark wauckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08247066866195200890noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1608697421187043479.post-69581495242990536702020-04-10T18:50:23.111-05:002020-04-10T18:50:23.111-05:00I have a hard enough time understanding what is go...I have a hard enough time understanding what is going on in the US, much less Sweden.<br /><br />Questions I have about Sweden:<br /><br />1. Are certain ethnic groups being affected more? If do, why... third hand possibly Somali immigrants are more affected, perhaps social distancing?<br /><br />2. Is the goal more deaths now, vs even more deaths over the long haul?<br /><br />3. Is the reason Ray - SoCalhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11293232996007277071noreply@blogger.com